Scatter the Winds

Why would you have just a day? We have a week or so, starting Feb. 4 and rambling among more than 500 caucus locations until more or less wrapping up Feb. 11.

If you navigate the state GOP website past the self-congratulations over the governor’s budget cuts (note to GOP organizers: even on a site meant for activists, “congratulations” on the cutbacks is akin to Gov. Romney saying he “likes to fire people.”) you discover that the Portland city caucus is Saturday, Feb. 11 at the Riverton School, 10 a.m. to noon.

While I remain an anti-consensus Cassandra on the issue, it seems clear that the GOP primary race goes well beyond Florida, if only because so many of the candidates don’t really have anything better to do.

That’s will be spun as “really bad news” for anyone hoping to replace President Obama, but once again “they” are wrong. Some of us with actual memories recall that was the conventional wisdom when then-Senator Obama went up against the Clintons.

It turns out that playing those early rounds sharpens an opponent, a chilling prospect as our well-rested Patriots face the OMG! Broncos.

By the time the primary hits Maine, however briefly, the theme of 2012 will be firmly established. This is going to be about rich vs. poor, and that’s a contrast pitting a former community organizer from Chicago up against (most likely, they say) a very rich hedge fund guy.

That’s why the GOP establishment went gonzo over the Gingrich-led assault on Romney’s business practices. Another adage says that, in politics, “... if you're the one explaining, then you’re the one losing.”

Meanwhile, a new Pew Research Center survey of 2,048 adults finds that “about two-thirds of the public (66%) believes there are “very strong” or “strong” conflicts between the rich and the poor — an increase of 19 percentage points since 2009.”

Pew also said the “... clash between rich and poor now ranks as American society’Moncler jackets s greatest social conflict, pollsters found, followed by 62 percent who said there are very strong or strong conflicts between immigrants and native-born Americans, and 38 percent who said these conflicts exist between blacks and whites.”

That conflict is a zone where the Tea Party and the Occupy movement overlap.

And they may define it a bit differently, but neither cares much for “the establishment.

Last week, no less a conservative icon than Rush Limbaugh put it thus: “Let me explain at the outset what is happening here within the sacred hollows of the establishment, the ruling class. Their objective, since this campaign began, was to make sure a conservative nominee did not get the Republican nomination. That has been the number one objective of the Republican establishment inside the Beltway, the whole Northeastern corridor, to make sure — not to beat Obama, not come up with somebody that can beat Obama despite all this electability talk.”

One more poll to consider is the Pat Caddell finding that more than 75 percent of Americans think the system is “stacked against them.” He called that finding “pre-revolutionary.”

Granted, that’s just one opinion.

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